Pacific Gas & Electric - PG&E

Last Updated Wednesday, June 19, 2013 at 5:09am

Gas Day	Activity	Tolerance	Stage/Noncompliance Charge	Reason
06/17/2013	No OFO in Effect
06/18/2013	No OFO in Effect
06/19/2013	No OFO in Effect
06/20/2013	System Wide OFO in Effect	5%	Stage 1 at $.25/Dth	High Inventory

When an OFO or EFO has been called, customers' supplies are required to be within the tolerance requirement of daily usage to avoid noncompliance penalties. The criteria for complying with an OFO or EFO are described here.

For additional information, please contact the PG&E Scheduling Helpline at (800) 343-4743.

While updates to the OFO Outlook are posted here, customers should use INSIDEtracc as their primary source for OFO notification and updated information. For specific end-use customer information, please see INSIDEtracc.

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System Inventory Status

	Ending Inventory History			Ending Inventory Forecasts
MMcf	6/16/2013	6/17/2013	6/18/2013	6/19/2013	6/20/2013	6/21/2013	6/22/2013
4750
4700
4650
4600
4550
4500
4450
4400				4404
4350							4375
4300
4250
4200			4229		4220	4221
4150
4100
4050	4068
4000		4041
3950
3900
3850
3800
3750
3700
3650
3600

	Within Operating Limits
	Outside Operating Limits

All numbers are expressed in MMcf/day. When the forecast pipeline ending inventory exceeds the upper pipeline inventory operating limit or falls below the lower pipeline inventory operating limit, an OFO may be called to maintain the integrity and reliability of the gas transportation system.

Note: Historical data for yesterday is not available until mid-morning today.

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System Inventory Summary

	Forecast for 6/19/2013	Forecast for 6/20/2013	Forecast for 6/21/2013	Forecast for 6/22/2013
Beginning Inventory	4229	4404	4220	4221
Ending Inventory	4404	4220	4221	4375
Inventory Change	175	-184	1	154
Upper Limit	4350	4350	4350	4350
Difference* (Upper Limit - Ending Inventory)	-54	130	129	-25
Lower Limit	3900	3900	3900	3900
Difference* (Ending Inventory - Lower Limit)	504	320	321	475

*Forecast differences of less than 0 for the day after the current gas day (day 1) indicate that that PG&E may call an OFO to maintain pipeline integrity. Caution: This is PG&E's forecast of system inventory. Because market behavior and forecast loads can vary widely, this forecast may change significantly within the gas day and should therefore be used with caution. Forecasts further into the future are more likely to change than days closer to the current gas day e.g., the forecast for gas day 3 is subject to more change than the forecast for day 1.
All numbers are expressed in MMcf.
When an OFO has been called for the day after the current gas day (day 1), plans after the first plan of the gas day (posted by 8:30 AM) will often reflect changed market behavior and will show inventory projections within the established limits.

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PG&E Supply and Demand Forecast
(Net Physical Flows)

Plan 4, posted 09:21 PM PT

Last updated for the Gas Day of 06/19/2013
Next update expected by 5:30 AM PT
(The Gas Day runs from 7:00 AM to 7:00 AM)

	Forecast for 6/19/2013	Forecast for 6/20/2013	Forecast for 6/21/2013	Forecast for 6/22/2013
COMPOSITE TEMPERATURE Historical Average for current day: 68.6	64	65.9	68.2	70.6
Demand
On-System Demand	1616	1621	1621	1468
Off-System Deliveries
SoCal Gas (KRS)	474	402	402	402
Southwest Gas	4	3	3	3
Kern River GT - HDL	10	0	0	0
Transmission Shrinkage	28	26	27	27
Injection
PG&E Storage (478 Maximum)* Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing	138	204	196	196
Wild Goose Storage	160	213	160	160
Central Valley Storage	0	0	0	0
Lodi Storage	172	294	245	245
Gill Ranch Storage	0	0	0	0
TOTAL SYSTEM DEMAND	2601	2763	2653	2500
Supply
Interconnect Supply
Gas Transmission Northwest	1391	1323	1311	1311
Ruby	681	676	670	670
California Production	59	59	59	59
SoCal Gas (KRS)	0	0	0	0
Kern River GT - HDL	0	0	0	0
Kern River GT - Daggett	260	229	260	260
Southern Trails	13	0	13	13
El Paso Natural Gas	227	177	200	200
Transwestern	144	114	140	140
Withdrawal
PG&E Storage (1064 Maximum)* Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing	0	0	0	0
Wild Goose Storage	0	0	0	0
Central Valley Storage	0	0	0	0
Lodi Storage	0	0	0	0
Gill Ranch Storage	0	0	0	0
TOTAL SYSTEM SUPPLY	2776	2579	2654	2654
INVENTORY CHANGE (Supply - Demand)	175	-184	1	154
TOTAL CUSTOMER IMBALANCE	289	-188	1	154

*Maxima for injection and withdrawal apply to current day only.
Note: All numbers are expressed in MMcf/d. Differences may exist between these figures and those shown in PG&E's INSIDEtracc. This data is PG&E's best estimate using operational data.

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PG&E Storage Activity Forecast
(Scheduled Volumes)

	Forecast for 6/19/2013	Forecast for 6/20/2013	Forecast for 6/21/2013	Forecast for 6/22/2013
Injection
PG&E Storage Core and Market Center	185	342	362	362
Wild Goose Storage	368	440	368	368
Central Valley Storage	3	3	3	3
Lodi Storage	665	744	694	694
Gill Ranch Storage	34	41	34	34
Pipeline Balancing Injection	110	0	0	0
Withdrawal
PG&E Storage Core and Market Center	188	178	198	198
Wild Goose Storage	208	228	208	208
Central Valley Storage	3	3	3	3
Lodi Storage	492	449	449	449
Gill Ranch Storage	2	0	2	2
Pipeline Balancing Withdrawal	0	0	0	0

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PG&E Recent Supply and Demand Data
(Net Physical Flows)

	Actual for 6/16/2013	Actual for 6/17/2013	Actual for 6/18/2013*
COMPOSITE TEMPERATURE Historical Average for current day: 68.6	68.2	66.6	63.1
System Demand
On-System Demand	1518	1734	1628
Off-System Deliveries
SoCal Gas (KRS)	441	441	416
Southwest Gas	2	2	2
Kern River GT - HDL	0	0	0
Transmission Shrinkage	27	26	26
Injection
PG&E Storage Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing	134	71	73
Wild Goose Storage	278	240	200
Central Valley Storage	16	15	0
Lodi Storage	266	224	86
Gill Ranch Storage	82	0	0
TOTAL SYSTEM DEMAND	2764	2754	2431
Supply
Interconnect Supply
Gas Transmission Northwest	1248	1260	1349
Ruby	795	791	650
California Production	60	62	58
SoCal Gas	0	0	0
Kern River GT - HDL	6	9	0
Kern River GT - Daggett	216	226	128
Southern Trails	12	11	39
El Paso Natural Gas	180	171	250
Transwestern	143	113	121
Withdrawal
PG&E Storage Core, Market Center, and Pipeline Balancing	7	84	24
Wild Goose Storage	0	0	0
Central Valley	0	0	0
Lodi Storage	0	0	0
Gill Ranch Storage	0	0	0
TOTAL SYSTEM SUPPLY	2667	2727	2619
INVENTORY CHANGE (Supply - Demand)	-97	-27	188
TOTAL CUSTOMER IMBALANCE	-110	-116	266

*Until yesterday's final figures are released, all numbers in this column will appear as 0.
Note: All numbers are expressed in MMcf/d. Differences may exist between these figures and those shown in PG&E's INSIDEtracc. This data is PG&E's best estimate using operational data.

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PG&E Recent Storage Activity
(Scheduled Volumes)

	Actual for 6/16/2013	Actual for 6/17/2013	Actual for 6/18/2013*
Injection
PG&E Storage Core and Market Center	313	239	185
Wild Goose Storage	487	448	397
Central Valley Storage	18	18	3
Lodi Storage	702	681	581
Gill Ranch Storage	85	57	22
Pipeline Balancing Injection	0	0	78
Withdrawal
PG&E Storage Core and Market Center	178	191	234
Wild Goose Storage	207	207	207
Central Valley Storage	3	3	3
Lodi Storage	445	448	493
Gill Ranch Storage	2	55	2
Pipeline Balancing Withdrawal	8	61	0
Balancing Gas
Imbalance Gas in Storage**	3891	3791	4078

*Until yesterday's final figures are released, all numbers in this column will appear as 0.
** Suspension of pipeline balancing injection or withdrawal may occur if Imbalance Gas in Storage exceeds balancing inventory limits. If Imbalance Gas in Storage is greater than 4.040 Bcf, pipeline balancing injection may not be available. If Imbalance Gas in Storage is at or below 0.0 Bcf, balancing withdrawal will not be available.
The daily change of Imbalance Gas in Storage may not equal the daily Pipeline Balancing. This is because Pipeline Balancing is the entire system balancing required for the day and Imbalance Gas in Storage is only the Cumulative Imbalance portion of the entire system imbalance gas in storage. PG&E may include the entire system imbalance gas as the Imbalance Gas in Storage sometime in the future.

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