Skip to main content

7-Day Public Safety Power Shutoff Forecast

General Alert1/22: PSPS Watch - Shutoffs likely

General Alert1/23: PSPS Watch - Shutoffs likely

General Alert1/24: PSPS Watch - Shutoffs likely

Green Circle1/25: No Public Safety Power Shutoff

Green Circle1/26: No Public Safety Power Shutoff

Green Circle1/27: No Public Safety Power Shutoff

Green Circle1/28: No Public Safety Power Shutoff

PG&E Weather Team Comments

CloseOpen

The information in this map is intended only to provide customers with a general estimate regarding potential locations that may be impacted by a PSPS event should one become necessary. Conditions affecting a possible PSPS event can change quickly and the actual impact of a future PSPS event is uncertain.

 

Wednesday, January 22, 2025

NOTE: This forecast is based on weather conditions and fuel moisture content only. It does not include other criteria used to determine whether a PSPS may be necessary. This forecast only provides a broad overview for a potential PSPS event in the next 7 days. It is determined from an analysis of forecast weather, the potential for wind-related damage, and fuel moisture content in dead and live vegetation. It is not a fire danger forecast. The forecast is broken down by county. PSPS decisions are made at more granular levels. Only a portion of a county may experience a PSPS event. While a PSPS event may not be expected for an area, due to the interconnectivity of the grid any location within PG&E territory may be subject to PSPS event.

Fair and dry weather is largely expected today, before Santa Ana winds develop overnight tonight in the Tehachapi mountains and continue into Friday morning. Fuels in the area remain dry due to a significant lack of winter precipitation and recent dry offshore wind events. As a result, Kern County remains in PSPS watch and will continue to be monitored. On Saturday, a new weather system drops into the state and brings breezy to gusty offshore winds across Northern California, where fuels are more moist and green-up of annual grasses has occurred. This same system may potentially bring rain to the San Joaquin Valley and surrounding foothills, including the Tehachapi mountains, although there remains some uncertainty on amounts. Fair and dry weather is expected to return the following week. Fuels: New growth of the annual grass crop is occurring for many areas in the central and northern part of the territory. However, live fuel moisture values will remain seasonably low as brush is in winter dormancy. Dead fuel moisture varies across the territory, with higher values in the North where precipitation is ample, but much lower across the South where precipitation has been more lacking. Recent dry, offshore wind events have lowered dead fuel moisture values across portions of the far South. The latest 4 Month Seasonal Outlook from Northern Operations Predictive Services is forecasting normal fire activity from January through April. Southern Operations Predictive Services is forecasting above normal fire activity for the South Coast area until significant precipitation occurs, with normal fire activity elsewhere. There are 45 of 788 circuits in High Fire Risk Areas (HFRA) that are EPSS-enabled today. The remaining 743 circuits in HFRA will have devices postured in normal settings due to low FPI rating. Additionally, 2 EPSS Buffer-only circuits are enabled today.

PLEASE NOTE: This forecast is published daily by an operational meteorologist from PG&E's Meteorology and Analytics team. This forecast has been customized for PG&E utility operations. It should not be used for any other purpose or by any other entity.

Back to top